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How will rising security concerns influence political interventions in economic life? What role will the media play in the ways we are governed?
Here is a brief overview of these highly detailed scenarios. Scenario 1) Fortress skcolidlo G (Goldilocks in reverse).
The high level of insecurity drives the world into introverted blocs.
The G7 economies - the US, Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy and Canada - may need to take the lead in reducing their carbon emissions, given that emissions from the faster-growing emerging economies will almost certainly continue to rise over the next few decades.China, although it will slowdown on the overall, will be around 95% the size of the US by 2050.Brazil will be a similar size as Japan; India and Mexico will grow rapidly, becoming larger than Germany by 2050; Russia will not grow due to population aging, but by 2050, it will be a similar size to France; Turkey will be a similar size to Italy by 2050.Two key scenarios (see report for more detail): Scenario 1) Baseline.
A baseline scenario in which energy efficiency improves in line with trends of the past 25 years, with no change in fuel mix by country; this ‘business as usual’ scenario acts as a benchmark against which to assess the need for change, rather than as a forecast of the most likely outcome. This scenario incorporates possible emission reductions due to a greener fuel mix, annual energy efficiency gains over and above the historic trend, and widespread use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. How Big Will the Major Emerging Market Economies get and how can the OECD Compete? Among a number of major findings, the report acknowledged that there was no single way to measure growth of OECD against the emerging economies such as China and India.